Category Archives: Classification

Cristobal, June 7th, Landfall Imminent

The projected path of the storm has changed very little over the last 24 hours, and landfall at Dulac/Cocodrie is imminent. By the time you read this, Cristobal could be on land.

With the forward movement of the storm, the storm surge will not be as severe as it could be, but areas outside levy protection are expected to experience about 4 feet of water.

Winds at landfall should be around 50 mph, which is lower than the projected 60 mph.

Rain will be heavy, but coming in bands. Cristobal does not present as a well organized storm — which is good for us.

IMHO, late this evening, we should be in a good position, stormwise. The only thing that could change that is if the storm would stall. Which, there is no indication that it will do that.

I don’t have a Google Map made up. I need to work on automating it. I don’t have enough coffee in my body to do it this morning. ugh.

Thanks,
Jay C. “Jazzy J” Theriot

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINIT 07/0900Z 27.3N 90.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 07/1800Z 28.7N 90.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 08/0600Z 30.8N 91.2W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
36H 08/1800Z 33.3N 92.3W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND
48H 09/0600Z 36.6N 92.6W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
60H 09/1800Z 40.9N 91.4W 25 KT 30 MPH…INLAND
72H 10/0600Z 46.0N 89.0W 30 KT 35 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 11/0600Z 52.0N 84.5W 30 KT 35 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 12/0600Z…MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW$$
Forecaster Beven

GeoColor, GoM, June 8, 2020, NOAA