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Sept. 21, 2024, Imagery
A number of models collected over the last week from TropicalTidbits.com. A very nice DIY weather site. There seems to be a trend towards an area around Big Bend WMA, Florida. However, models differ greatly, putting the disturbance as far west as Mexico and all places in between.
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Sept. 11, 2024, 5 am. Francine making landfall as a cat. 2
Landfall about 5-7 pm. But, coastal areas feeling tropical storm winds as early as noon. Center pressure estimated at 977 mb. However, Hurricane Hunters are thinking they may find the central pressure even lower. Storm surge can be significant from Atchafalaya to Cocodrie. Estimated to be 5-10 feet with 70 mph winds. If you live…
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9/10/24 – Francine Track Correction
Track Correction to just west of Morgan City. Projected strength is now a Category 1. This is good for Lafayette, bad for St. Mary and Terrebonne Parishes. If you are in a compromised or weak structure, you need to take action today (Tuesday) not Wednesday. Wednesday will be too late to make preparations as we…
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Sept. 10, 2024, TS Francine, Preparing for a Cat 2
Tropical Storm Francine is currently moving about 5 mph NNW with a pressure of about 992 mb. Sustained winds are 65 mph. She is about 415 miles SSW of Cameron, Louisiana. The math says if she continues at this speed, she won’t make it here until Friday. But, the official forecast has her accelerating and…
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Sept. 8, 2024: Monitoring the Gulf of Mexico Disturbance
There is a growing area of concern just off the coast in the Bay of Campeche. While it is much to early to make any definitive predictions, we should be in the “Monitoring” stage. Keeping your eye on the weather about once daily should be fine. Purchasing some 2-Liter bottles of soda or gallons of…
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Sept. 5, 2024
Whooo. A lot out there, but nothing immediately threatening. Info from the NHC below the graphic. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMMTropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2024For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:1. Northwestern Atlantic:A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles…
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Sept. 1, 2024
Not much threatening now, but stuff to watch. Potential flooding due to rain along the coast. We need to be observant of possible development in the Caribbean in the next week. Then the following week, the Gulf could be threatened by “Francine” should the orange swath develop.
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Aug. 4, 2024
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued strengthening is forecast, and Debby is expected to become a hurricane by tonight before it reaches the Florida Big Bend coast. Weakening is expected on Monday and Tuesday after Debby moves inland
