Agatha: Potential Pacific-GoM Crossover

Agatha: Potential Pacific-GoM Crossover

I’ve tracked many different storms over the years, but never one that started in the Pacific and then came over into the Gulf of Mexico and re-developed. Will Agatha be my first? I guess I’ll have to just track and find out.

Nothing to worry about at the moment for the Gulf. However, we are watching the development of Agatha. Currently, there is only a 40% chance of development for the Gulf and IF that happens, it could threaten the NW Gulf Coast by the end of this week (Friday, June 3rd, 2022)

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 30 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop 
across Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, and the southwest 
Gulf of Mexico in a few days, partially related to the remnants of 
Hurricane Agatha from the eastern Pacific. Some gradual development 
is possible within this system in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico 
around mid-week or in the northwest Caribbean by the latter part of 
this week as it drifts eastward or northeastward.  Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rains will be possible across southern 
Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize through the 
week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Brown

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